# Pay No Attention to the Man Behind the Curtain!

Remember that great line from “The Wizard of Oz”?  Toto had pulled back the curtain, revealing the “wizard” for what he was: a fraud.  With the recent revelations about data manipulation and loss from some of the key scientists involved in global warming research, another curtain has been pulled back.  This curtain, too, was shielding a fraud.
How would you measure the “average” temperature of Earth?  Where would you measure?  When would you measure?  These are very basic questions, but the answers are not simple.  Temperature varies over land vs. over water.  It’s relatively easy to measure on land, but water measurements are more complicated, and there’s way more water surface than land on our Water Planet.  Temperature varies with altitude, and this is true on a small scale as well as a mountain vs. valley scale.  Try this experiment yourself sometime, and see that air temperature near the ground can be a couple degrees different than the temperature at shoulder height.  How high should your device be above the ground?
As far as timing goes, we face another set of obvious challenges: day vs. night and summer vs. winter.  In short, to measure the “average” temperature of the Earth, you would need to collect thousands of different temperature readings from multiple locations all around the planet, and do so for at least one full year.  And you would have to hope that none of your instruments failed on you – especially if they were located in the middle of the ocean.  Those of us who work with instruments know that this is impossible – stuff happens!  So at the end of your one year of data collection, it would be necessary to delete data that was obviously erroneous.  But how could you know for sure what was valid and what was not?  In many cases, you just couldn’t know for sure.
Despite our difficulties, we have amassed a year’s worth of data, sorted it all out, and calculated an average temperature for our planet for the past year.  If we are trying to determine if the Earth is changing in temperature, we need to collect the same data for at least one more year.  But for how many years would we really need to collect these same data to establish a credible trend?  Our current data goes back maybe 100 years, and the farther we go back, the more questions we will have about our instruments and their failures and inaccuracies.  But for today, let’s say we have 100 years of good data.  How old is the Earth?  Not even I was around at the start, but a good estimate is at least 4 billion years.  Our measurement period thus represents 0.0000025% of the total age of the planet.  Is this long enough to discover any trend?  By my rough estimate, this would be similar to trying to predict the performance of the entire history of the New York Stock Exchange by observing the first three minutes of its two centuries of existence.
I apologize for rambling on with these numbers and details, but that’s what scientists must do.  To a scientist, the data are our truths.  To learn that data have been manipulated, and that a century of raw data was lost is absolutely painful to any honest scientist.
The so-called scientists that participated in this scam are not real scientists.  Toto has pulled the curtain back, and revealed them for what they are: a fraud.